Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBylis to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗65% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.17
Bylis vs Pogradeci preview and prediction
The match
Bylis host Pogradeci in the 1st Division on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Stadiumi Adush Muca. Bylis are 3rd with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Pogradeci sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bylis's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Korabi Peshkopi 0–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pogradeci's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Sopoti Librazhd 2–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Bylis and 1.0 for Pogradeci. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bylis 38%, draw 25%, Pogradeci 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Bylis 0–0 Pogradeci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bylis38%fair 2.61 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
Pogradeci37%fair 2.69 · @2.45
1.96Expected goals
0.99Bylis xG
0.97Pogradeci xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bylis 1.0 – 1.0 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bylis to win✗
38%
2.61
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.17
–
Form
Bylis – last 6
DWWDDW
17 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
0–0
D
10 Oct
vs FK Kukesi
1–0
W
7 Oct
vs Albpetrol Patos
4–1
W
20 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Besëlidhja Lezhë
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Oriku
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 6
DWWDWW
17 Oct
vs Sopoti Librazhd
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ Korabi Peshkopi
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
20 Sep
vs Flamurtari
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bylis and Pogradeci.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Bylis vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Bylis have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pogradeci 37%.
How many goals will there be in Bylis vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bylis vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Bylis 0–0 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Bylis vs Pogradeci?
Bylis vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Adush Muca.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
