Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Besa Kavajë to win @ 1.83 – our chance 65% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBesa Kavajë to win ✗65% · @1.83
Double chanceBesa Kavajë or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.91
FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees FK Kukesi take on Besa Kavajë on Friday 16 October, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Kukes Arena. FK Kukesi are 4th with 18 points from 10 games (in the top four), while Besa Kavajë sit 2nd on 18 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FK Kukesi's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Bylis 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Besa Kavajë's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Iliria Fushë-Krujë 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Besa Kavajë arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 August 2026, finished FK Kukesi 1–4 Besa Kavajë. Across their last 2 meetings FK Kukesi have won 1, Besa Kavajë 1, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for FK Kukesi and 2.1 for Besa Kavajë. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 47% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Kukesi 15%, draw 20%, Besa Kavajë 65%.
Safer route: Besa Kavajë or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Besa Kavajë to win at 1.83 – 65% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Besa Kavajë or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FK Kukesi 0–2 Besa Kavajë. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Kukesi15%fair 6.78 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.30
Besa Kavajë65%fair 1.54 · @1.83
2.96Expected goals
0.88FK Kukesi xG
2.08Besa Kavajë xG
47%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: FK Kukesi 0.9 – 2.1 Besa Kavajë expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
Our pick is Besa Kavajë or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
On our numbers FK Kukesi have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Besa Kavajë 65%.
How many goals will there be in FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
Our predicted score is FK Kukesi 0–2 Besa Kavajë, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë?
FK Kukesi vs Besa Kavajë (1st Division) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Kukes Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
