Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Pogradeci to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogradeci to win ✓65% · @1.60
Double chancePogradeci or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.49
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci preview and prediction
The match
Korabi Peshkopi host Pogradeci in the 1st Division on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT). Korabi Peshkopi are 8th with 12 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Pogradeci sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Korabi Peshkopi's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Tërbuni Pukë 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Pogradeci's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Delvina 7–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Korabi Peshkopi and 1.6 for Pogradeci. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Korabi Peshkopi 0–1 Pogradeci. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korabi Peshkopi16%fair 6.32 · @4.75
Draw19%fair 5.27 · @3.50
Pogradeci65%fair 1.53 · @1.60
2.17Expected goals
0.57Korabi Peshkopi xG
1.60Pogradeci xG
41%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Korabi Peshkopi 0.6 – 1.6 Pogradeci expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✓
65%
1.53
1.60
Double chance
Pogradeci or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.49
–
Form
Korabi Peshkopi – last 6
WLDWWD
7 Oct
vs Tërbuni Pukë
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
0–3
L
16 Sep
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Besëlidhja Lezhë
2–1
W
6 Sep
vs Oriku
1–0
W
3 May
vs Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pogradeci – last 6
WDWWDD
7 Oct
vs Delvina
7–0
W
20 Sep
vs Flamurtari
0–0
D
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–0
D
11 May
vs Besa Kavajë
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korabi Peshkopi and Pogradeci.
What is the prediction for Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
On our numbers Korabi Peshkopi have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Pogradeci 65%.
How many goals will there be in Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
Our predicted score is Korabi Peshkopi 0–1 Pogradeci, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci?
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
