Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPogradeci to win ✗58% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.45
Pogradeci vs Flamurtari preview and prediction
The match
Flamurtari travel to face Pogradeci in the 1st Division on Sunday 20 September (12:30 WAT). Pogradeci are 5th with 17 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Flamurtari sit 6th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pogradeci's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat FK Kukesi 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Flamurtari's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Kastrioti Krujë 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Pogradeci arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.6 for Pogradeci and 0.9 for Flamurtari. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Pogradeci to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.91, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pogradeci 1–0 Flamurtari. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pogradeci58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.25
Flamurtari22%fair 4.65 · @3.50
2.51Expected goals
1.65Pogradeci xG
0.86Flamurtari xG
45%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Pogradeci 1.6 – 0.9 Flamurtari expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pogradeci to win✗
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pogradeci / FT Pogradeci✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.45
–
Form
Pogradeci – last 6
WWDDWL
16 Sep
@ FK Kukesi
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0–0
D
11 May
vs Besa Kavajë
0–0
D
7 May
vs Kastrioti Krujë
3–0
W
3 May
@ Luftëtari
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flamurtari – last 6
LDDLDW
16 Sep
@ Kastrioti Krujë
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Burreli
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Besa Kavajë
3–3
D
10 May
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
0–2
L
6 May
vs Teuta Durrës
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Dinamo Tirana
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pogradeci and Flamurtari.
What is the prediction for Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
Our pick is Pogradeci to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
On our numbers Pogradeci have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Flamurtari 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
Our predicted score is Pogradeci 1–0 Flamurtari, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogradeci vs Flamurtari?
Pogradeci vs Flamurtari (1st Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
