Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFlamurtari to win ✗69% · @1.44
Double chanceFlamurtari or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.80
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Flamurtari vs Burreli preview and prediction
The match
The 1st Division sees Flamurtari take on Burreli on Friday 11 September, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stadiumi Flamurtari. Flamurtari are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Burreli sit 10th on 7 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Flamurtari's last 5: DLDWD Most recently they drew with Besa Kavajë 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Burreli's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Kastrioti Krujë 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Flamurtari arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.7 for Flamurtari and 1.2 for Burreli. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Flamurtari to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Flamurtari 2–1 Burreli. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Flamurtari69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @4.00
Burreli12%fair 8.40 · @6.00
3.89Expected goals
2.74Flamurtari xG
1.15Burreli xG
56%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Flamurtari 2.7 – 1.2 Burreli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Flamurtari to win✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Double chance
Flamurtari or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Flamurtari ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Flamurtari / FT Flamurtari✗
48%
2.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.33
–
Form
Flamurtari – last 6
DLDWDW
6 Sep
@ Besa Kavajë
3–3
D
10 May
@ Vllaznia Shkodër
0–2
L
6 May
vs Teuta Durrës
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Dinamo Tirana
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Tirana
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Vllaznia Shkodër
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Burreli – last 6
DDLLLL
6 Sep
vs Kastrioti Krujë
2–2
D
3 May
@ Apolonia Fier
4–4
D
19 Apr
@ Luftëtari
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Pogradeci
0–3
L
18 Mar
@ Kastrioti Krujë
2–5
L
1 Mar
@ Besa Kavajë
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Flamurtari and Burreli.
Our pick is Flamurtari to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Flamurtari vs Burreli?
On our numbers Flamurtari have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Burreli 12%.
How many goals will there be in Flamurtari vs Burreli?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Flamurtari vs Burreli?
Our predicted score is Flamurtari 2–1 Burreli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Flamurtari vs Burreli?
Flamurtari vs Burreli (1st Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadiumi Flamurtari.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
