Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.47 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.47Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDiyala to win ✗38% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.38
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.01
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.44
Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Diyala take on Al Minaa Basra on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 14:45 (WAT). Diyala are 12th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Minaa Basra sit 9th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Diyala's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Al Zawra'a 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Minaa Basra's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Al Quwa Al Jawiya 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Diyala arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 March 2026, finished Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Diyala.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Diyala and 1.1 for Al Minaa Basra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Diyala 38%, draw 28%, Al Minaa Basra 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.01.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.01 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.47. Predicted score: Diyala 1–1 Al Minaa Basra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Diyala38%fair 2.66 · @2.58
Draw28%fair 3.51 · @2.52
Al Minaa Basra34%fair 2.94 · @2.96
2.31Expected goals
1.19Diyala xG
1.12Al Minaa Basra xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Diyala 1.2 – 1.1 Al Minaa Basra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.47.
Who will win Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
On our numbers Diyala have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Al Minaa Basra 34%.
How many goals will there be in Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
Our predicted score is Diyala 1–1 Al Minaa Basra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra?
Diyala vs Al Minaa Basra (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
