Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl-Karma to win ✓62% · @1.65
Double chanceAl-Karma or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.79
Al-Karma vs Duhok preview and prediction
The match
Duhok travel to face Al-Karma in the Iraqi League on Friday 30 October (15:00 WAT). Al-Karma are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Duhok sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al-Karma's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Al Minaa Basra 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Duhok's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Karbala 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Al-Karma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Al-Karma 3–0 Duhok.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Al-Karma and 0.8 for Duhok. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Karma 62%, draw 22%, Duhok 16%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al-Karma to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al-Karma 1–0 Duhok. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Karma62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Duhok16%fair 6.15 · @4.50
2.67Expected goals
1.85Al-Karma xG
0.82Duhok xG
48%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Karma 1.9 – 0.8 Duhok expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al-Karma to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Al-Karma vs Duhok?
On our numbers Al-Karma have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Duhok 16%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Karma vs Duhok?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Karma vs Duhok?
Our predicted score is Al-Karma 1–0 Duhok, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al-Karma vs Duhok?
Al-Karma vs Duhok (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
