Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNaft to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.78
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.64
Gharraf vs Naft preview and prediction
The match
Gharraf host Naft in the Iraqi League on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Gharraf are 13th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Naft sit 3rd on 25 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Gharraf's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Karbala 2–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Naft's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Zakho 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Naft arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 9 April 2026, finished Naft 1–0 Gharraf.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.9 for Gharraf and 1.1 for Naft. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gharraf 32%, draw 24%, Naft 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Gharraf 0–1 Naft. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gharraf32%fair 3.17 · @3.10
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @2.88
Naft45%fair 2.24 · @2.30
2.02Expected goals
0.88Gharraf xG
1.14Naft xG
44%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gharraf 0.9 – 1.1 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Gharraf vs Naft?
On our numbers Gharraf have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Naft 45%.
How many goals will there be in Gharraf vs Naft?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gharraf vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Gharraf 0–1 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Gharraf vs Naft?
Gharraf vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
