Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Al Zawra'a to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✗65% · @1.70
Double chanceAl Zawra'a or draw ✗88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.95
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a preview and prediction
The match
Ghaz Al Shamal host Al Zawra'a in the Iraqi League on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Ghaz Al Shamal are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Al Zawra'a sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ghaz Al Shamal's last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Al Minaa Basra 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Zawra'a's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Qatar SC 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Zawra'a arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.5 for Ghaz Al Shamal and 1.6 for Al Zawra'a. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ghaz Al Shamal 12%, draw 23%, Al Zawra'a 65%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Zawra'a to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ghaz Al Shamal 0–1 Al Zawra'a. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ghaz Al Shamal12%fair 8.39 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Al Zawra'a65%fair 1.53 · @1.70
2.05Expected goals
0.48Ghaz Al Shamal xG
1.57Al Zawra'a xG
38%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–216%
0–013%
1–110%
0–38%
1–28%
From our goals model: Ghaz Al Shamal 0.5 – 1.6 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Zawra'a to win✗
65%
1.53
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Al Zawra'a or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Zawra'a / FT Al Zawra'a✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.95
–
Form
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 6
LDDDLW
10 Oct
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
19 Sep
vs Newroz
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Al Shorta
0–0
D
8 Sep
@ Duhok
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Al-Jolan SC
0–1
L
30 Aug
@ Gharraf
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Zawra'a – last 6
DLWWWD
13 Oct
@ Qatar SC
1–1
D
8 Oct
@ Duhok
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Gharraf
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–0
W
7 Sep
vs Al Kahrabaa
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Mosul
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghaz Al Shamal and Al Zawra'a.
What is the prediction for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
Our pick is Al Zawra'a to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Ghaz Al Shamal have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Zawra'a 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Ghaz Al Shamal 0–1 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a?
Ghaz Al Shamal vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
