Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.58
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma preview and prediction
The match
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Al-Karma in the Iraqi League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 18:30 (WAT). Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Karma sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Al Ain 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Al-Karma's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Al Karkh 3–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al-Karma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 1.4 for Al-Karma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 33%, draw 22%, Al-Karma 45%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al-Karma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya33%fair 3.03 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Al-Karma45%fair 2.23 · @2.35
2.62Expected goals
1.18Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
1.44Al-Karma xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.2 – 1.4 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
45%
2.23
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.94
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.58
–
Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
LWDLLW
12 Oct
vs Al Ain
1–4
L
7 Oct
@ Mosul
3–0
W
19 Sep
vs Diyala
1–1
D
14 Sep
@ Neftchi
0–1
L
10 Sep
vs Al Zawra'a
0–1
L
7 Sep
@ Karbala
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Oct
vs Al Karkh
3–2
W
19 Sep
vs Zakho
1–0
W
14 Sep
@ Erbil
2–1
W
9 Sep
vs Naft
3–0
W
3 Sep
@ Diyala
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs Karbala
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al-Karma.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al-Karma 45%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
