Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultErbil to win ✗64% · @1.83
Double chanceErbil or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.78
Naft Maysan vs Erbil preview and prediction
The match
Erbil travel to face Naft Maysan in the Iraqi League on Thursday 8 October (16:45 WAT). Naft Maysan are 19th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Erbil sit 7th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Naft Maysan's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Al Karkh 2–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Erbil's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Karbala 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Erbil arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Naft Maysan 0–0 Erbil.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Naft Maysan and 1.6 for Erbil. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 40%.
Our pre-match pick was Erbil to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft Maysan16%fair 6.10 · @3.80
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @3.25
Erbil64%fair 1.57 · @1.83
2.23Expected goals
0.62Naft Maysan xG
1.61Erbil xG
40%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–111%
0–011%
1–29%
0–37%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 0.6 – 1.6 Erbil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Erbil to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Erbil 64%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Erbil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Erbil?
Naft Maysan vs Erbil (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 8 October 2026 at 16:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
