Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✓64% · @1.45
Double chanceAl Zawra'a or draw ✓88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.07
Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf preview and prediction
The match
Al Zawra'a host Gharraf in the Iraqi League on Thursday 17 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Al Zawra'a are 6th with 21 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Gharraf sit 13th on 14 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Al Zawra'a's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gharraf's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Diyala 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Al Zawra'a arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished Gharraf 0–1 Al Zawra'a.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Al Zawra'a and 0.6 for Gharraf. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Zawra'a 64%, draw 24%, Gharraf 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Zawra'a to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Al Zawra'a 1–0 Gharraf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Zawra'a64%fair 1.57 · @1.45
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.75
Gharraf12%fair 8.15 · @6.25
2.35Expected goals
1.73Al Zawra'a xG
0.62Gharraf xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Al Zawra'a 1.7 – 0.6 Gharraf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Al Zawra'a to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
On our numbers Al Zawra'a have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gharraf 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
Our predicted score is Al Zawra'a 1–0 Gharraf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf?
Al Zawra'a vs Gharraf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
