Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Al Talaba to win @ 2.15 – our chance 49% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Talaba to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.29
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.04
Naft Maysan vs Al Talaba preview and prediction
The match
Naft Maysan host Al Talaba in the Iraqi League on Sunday 13 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Maysan Olympic Stadium. Naft Maysan are 19th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Al Talaba sit 11th on 16 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Naft Maysan's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Al Minaa Basra 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Al Talaba's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Al Karkh 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Talaba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Naft Maysan and 1.3 for Al Talaba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 42%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Naft Maysan 28%, draw 22%, Al Talaba 49%.
Value angle: Al Talaba to win at 2.15 – 49% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Naft Maysan 0–1 Al Talaba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft Maysan28%fair 3.52 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Al Talaba49%fair 2.02 · @2.15
2.24Expected goals
0.91Naft Maysan xG
1.33Al Talaba xG
42%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–29%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 0.9 – 1.3 Al Talaba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Talaba to win✗
49%
2.02
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Talaba / FT Al Talaba✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.04
–
Form
Naft Maysan – last 6
DLDLDL
9 Sep
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs Newroz
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–1
D
25 Aug
@ Al Zawra'a
0–4
L
20 Aug
vs Naft
0–0
D
28 May
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Al Talaba – last 6
WDDWDL
9 Sep
vs Al Karkh
3–2
W
5 Sep
@ Zakho
0–0
D
31 Aug
vs Naft
0–0
D
26 Aug
vs Newroz
1–0
W
22 Aug
@ Duhok
3–3
D
15 Aug
@ Diyala
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naft Maysan and Al Talaba.
What is the prediction for Naft Maysan vs Al Talaba?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Al Talaba?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Talaba 49%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Al Talaba?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Al Talaba?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Al Talaba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Al Talaba?
Naft Maysan vs Al Talaba (Iraqi League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Maysan Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
