Value bet: Al Zawra'a to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Zawra'a to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a preview and prediction
The match
Al Zawra'a travel to face Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraqi League on Thursday 10 September (19:00 WAT). Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Zawra'a sit 6th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Karbala 3–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Al Zawra'a's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Al Kahrabaa 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Zawra'a arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–1 Al Zawra'a.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 1.5 for Al Zawra'a. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 35%, draw 25%, Al Zawra'a 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Al Zawra'a to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.77, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al Zawra'a. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya35%fair 2.86 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Al Zawra'a41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.92Expected goals
1.40Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
1.52Al Zawra'a xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1.4 – 1.5 Al Zawra'a expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Zawra'a 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 Al Zawra'a, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Zawra'a (Iraqi League) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
