Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewroz to win ✓39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓64% · @1.57
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.34
Naft Maysan vs Newroz preview and prediction
The match
Naft Maysan host Newroz in the Iraqi League on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Maysan Olympic Stadium. Naft Maysan are 19th with 9 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Newroz sit 2nd on 26 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Naft Maysan's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Newroz's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Duhok 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Naft Maysan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 March 2026, finished Newroz 2–0 Naft Maysan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Naft Maysan and 1.0 for Newroz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Naft Maysan 0–1 Newroz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Naft Maysan37%fair 2.71 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Newroz39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
2.02Expected goals
0.99Naft Maysan xG
1.03Newroz xG
41%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–114%
0–013%
1–013%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Naft Maysan 1.0 – 1.0 Newroz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Naft Maysan vs Newroz?
On our numbers Naft Maysan have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Newroz 39%.
How many goals will there be in Naft Maysan vs Newroz?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naft Maysan vs Newroz?
Our predicted score is Naft Maysan 0–1 Newroz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Naft Maysan vs Newroz?
Naft Maysan vs Newroz (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Maysan Olympic Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
