Double chanceAl Quwa Al Jawiya or draw ✓93% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal preview and prediction
The match
Al Quwa Al Jawiya host Ghaz Al Shamal in the Iraqi League on Tuesday 25 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT). Al Quwa Al Jawiya are 14th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Ghaz Al Shamal sit 10th on 16 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Quwa Al Jawiya's last 5: DDWWW Most recently they drew with Erbil 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.1 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya and 0.5 for Ghaz Al Shamal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 39%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 72%, draw 21%, Ghaz Al Shamal 7%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–0 Ghaz Al Shamal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Quwa Al Jawiya72%fair 1.39 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.10
Ghaz Al Shamal7%fair 13.63 · @8.00
2.62Expected goals
2.07Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
0.55Ghaz Al Shamal xG
39%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2.1 – 0.5 Ghaz Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Double chance
Al Quwa Al Jawiya or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Half-time result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Quwa Al Jawiya / FT Al Quwa Al Jawiya✗
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
16%
6.40
–
Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 6
DDWWWL
21 Aug
@ Erbil
1–1
D
14 Aug
@ Newroz
3–3
D
2 Jun
vs Zakho
3–2
W
28 May
@ Naft Maysan
2–0
W
20 May
vs Al Zawra'a
2–1
W
27 Apr
vs Newroz
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ghaz Al Shamal – last 2
DL
20 Aug
vs Al Kahrabaa
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Zakho
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Ghaz Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our pick is Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
On our numbers Al Quwa Al Jawiya have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ghaz Al Shamal 7%.
How many goals will there be in Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2–0 Ghaz Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal?
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Ghaz Al Shamal (Iraqi League) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
