Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
The Segunda División sees Cerrito take on Uruguay Montevideo on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT). Cerrito are 8th with 34 points from 25 games (in the bottom half), while Uruguay Montevideo sit 14th on 22 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Cerrito's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Oriental 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Uruguay Montevideo's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Atenas 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Cerrito 2–1 Uruguay Montevideo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Cerrito and 1.1 for Uruguay Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerrito43%fair 2.30 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Uruguay Montevideo35%fair 2.89 · @3.00
2.41Expected goals
1.30Cerrito xG
1.11Uruguay Montevideo xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerrito 1.3 – 1.1 Uruguay Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
On our numbers Cerrito have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Uruguay Montevideo 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Cerrito 1–1 Uruguay Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo?
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo (Segunda División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
