Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPlaza Colonia to win ✗44% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Plaza Colonia vs Colón preview and prediction
The match
Colón travel to Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi in the Segunda División on Friday 21 August (23:00 WAT) to face Plaza Colonia. Plaza Colonia are 4th with 38 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Colón sit 3rd on 39 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Plaza Colonia's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Fenix 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Colón's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat La Luz 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Plaza Colonia and 1.0 for Colón. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Plaza Colonia 44%, draw 23%, Colón 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Plaza Colonia 1–1 Colón. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Plaza Colonia44%fair 2.28 · @2.23
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.96
Colón33%fair 3.04 · @3.06
2.26Expected goals
1.24Plaza Colonia xG
1.02Colón xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Plaza Colonia 1.2 – 1.0 Colón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plaza Colonia to win✗
44%
2.28
2.23
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.16
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plaza Colonia / FT Plaza Colonia✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Form
Plaza Colonia – last 6
WDWWLW
16 Aug
@ Fenix
4–1
W
10 Aug
@ Rentistas
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Miramar
3–0
W
25 Jul
@ Tacuarembo
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ CA River Plate
2–3
L
4 Jul
vs La Luz
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colón – last 6
WWLLWW
17 Aug
vs La Luz
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Cerrito
1–0
W
3 Aug
@ Atenas
1–4
L
25 Jul
vs Paysandu
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Sportivo Huracan
2–0
W
6 Jul
vs Uruguay Montevideo
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plaza Colonia and Colón.
What is the prediction for Plaza Colonia vs Colón?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Plaza Colonia vs Colón?
On our numbers Plaza Colonia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Colón 33%.
How many goals will there be in Plaza Colonia vs Colón?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plaza Colonia vs Colón?
Our predicted score is Plaza Colonia 1–1 Colón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Plaza Colonia vs Colón?
Plaza Colonia vs Colón (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 21 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Cincuentenario Juan Prandi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
