Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Domagnano to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDomagnano to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.67
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Faetano vs Domagnano preview and prediction
The match
Faetano host Domagnano in the Coppa Titano on Wednesday 28 October, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT).
Form guide
Faetano's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with La Fiorita 0–0 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Domagnano's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Murata 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Domagnano arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 September 2026, finished Domagnano 3–1 Faetano. Across their last 2 meetings Faetano have won 0, Domagnano 2, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.3 for Faetano and 2.2 for Domagnano. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Domagnano to win at 1.80 – 59% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Faetano 1–2 Domagnano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Faetano21%fair 4.76 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.50
Domagnano59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
3.47Expected goals
1.25Faetano xG
2.21Domagnano xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Faetano 1.3 – 2.2 Domagnano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Faetano vs Domagnano?
On our numbers Faetano have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Domagnano 59%.
How many goals will there be in Faetano vs Domagnano?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Faetano vs Domagnano?
Our predicted score is Faetano 1–2 Domagnano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Faetano vs Domagnano?
Faetano vs Domagnano (Coppa Titano) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tre Fiori5
Fiorentino0
Virtus3
Murata0