Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Sokol Saratov to win ✗62% · @1.71
Double chanceFK Sokol Saratov or draw ✓87% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.76
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.57
Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Nosta take on FK Sokol Saratov on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Nosta's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
FK Sokol Saratov's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Novosibirsk 2–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Nosta arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.2 for Nosta and 2.4 for FK Sokol Saratov. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nosta 13%, draw 26%, FK Sokol Saratov 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.76.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Nosta 1–2 FK Sokol Saratov. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nosta13%fair 7.73 · @4.65
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.22
FK Sokol Saratov62%fair 1.62 · @1.71
3.59Expected goals
1.16Nosta xG
2.43FK Sokol Saratov xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
0–28%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Nosta 1.2 – 2.4 FK Sokol Saratov expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Sokol Saratov to win✗
62%
1.62
1.71 ▲
Double chance
FK Sokol Saratov or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.76 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.85 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.30
Half-time result
FK Sokol Saratov ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Sokol Saratov / FT FK Sokol Saratov✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.57
–
Form
Nosta – last 6
DWWWLD
23 Aug
vs Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Ural II
2–1
W
12 Aug
@ Khimik Dzerzhinsk
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Chelyabinsk II
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0–5
L
26 Jul
vs Izhevsk
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FK Sokol Saratov – last 6
DLWWDL
22 Aug
vs Novosibirsk
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Dinamo Vladivostok
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Ilpar
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Dinamo Kirov
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nosta and FK Sokol Saratov.
What is the prediction for Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov?
On our numbers Nosta have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and FK Sokol Saratov 62%.
How many goals will there be in Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov?
Our predicted score is Nosta 1–2 FK Sokol Saratov, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov?
Nosta vs FK Sokol Saratov (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.