Value bet: Cherepovets to win @ 3.28 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLuki-Energiya to win ✓45% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.51
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.91
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets preview and prediction
The match
Cherepovets travel to face Luki-Energiya in the Cup on Thursday 27 August (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Luki-Energiya's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Dinamo Vologda 2–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cherepovets's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Dinamo St. Petersburg 0–0 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 July 2026, finished Luki-Energiya 3–0 Cherepovets.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Luki-Energiya and 1.1 for Cherepovets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Cherepovets to win at 3.28 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Luki-Energiya 1–1 Cherepovets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Luki-Energiya45%fair 2.21 · @1.97
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.35
Cherepovets34%fair 2.94 · @3.28
2.50Expected goals
1.37Luki-Energiya xG
1.13Cherepovets xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.4 – 1.1 Cherepovets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cherepovets 34%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 1–1 Cherepovets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?
Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets (Cup) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dinamo Barnaul5
Irtysh Omsk0
2Drots0
Murom3