AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21 prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
AFC Bournemouth U21 or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: AFC Bournemouth U21 to win @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAFC Bournemouth U21 to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceAFC Bournemouth U21 or draw ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.93
AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21 preview and prediction
The match
Plymouth U21 travel to face AFC Bournemouth U21 in the Premier League Cup on Monday 12 October (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
AFC Bournemouth U21's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Stoke City U21 2–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.6 for AFC Bournemouth U21 and 1.2 for Plymouth U21. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: AFC Bournemouth U21 or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Value angle: AFC Bournemouth U21 to win at 1.62 – 66% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was AFC Bournemouth U21 or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: AFC Bournemouth U21 2–1 Plymouth U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AFC Bournemouth U2166%fair 1.53 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.90
Plymouth U2112%fair 8.21 · @4.00
3.75Expected goals
2.59AFC Bournemouth U21 xG
1.16Plymouth U21 xG
65%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: AFC Bournemouth U21 2.6 – 1.2 Plymouth U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Bournemouth U21 to win✓
66%
1.53
1.62 ▲
Double chance
AFC Bournemouth U21 or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
AFC Bournemouth U21 ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Bournemouth U21 / FT AFC Bournemouth U21✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.93
–
Form
AFC Bournemouth U21 – last 6
WLWWWL
21 Sep
vs Stoke City U21
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Southampton U21
1–3
L
4 Sep
@ Leicester City U21
1–0
W
31 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
3–1
W
21 Aug
vs Chelsea U21
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cardiff City U21
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Plymouth U21 – last 2
LL
7 Sep
vs Cardiff City U21
2–3
L
14 Aug
@ Leicester City U21
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AFC Bournemouth U21 and Plymouth U21.
What is the prediction for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21?
Our pick is AFC Bournemouth U21 or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21?
On our numbers AFC Bournemouth U21 have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Plymouth U21 12%.
How many goals will there be in AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21?
Our predicted score is AFC Bournemouth U21 2–1 Plymouth U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21?
AFC Bournemouth U21 vs Plymouth U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
