Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Brentford U21 to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrentford U21 to win ✓62% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 preview and prediction
The match
Brentford U21 host Derby County U21 in the Premier League Cup on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Brentford U21 are 2nd with 12 points from 6 games, while Derby County U21 sit 3rd on 5 points.
Form guide
Brentford U21's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Milton Keynes Dons 1–7 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Derby County U21's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Burnley U21 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Brentford U21 and 1.0 for Derby County U21. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Brentford U21 to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Brentford U21 2–1 Derby County U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brentford U2162%fair 1.60 · @1.73
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @4.00
Derby County U2122%fair 4.47 · @3.40
3.00Expected goals
1.97Brentford U21 xG
1.03Derby County U21 xG
62%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–010%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Brentford U21 2.0 – 1.0 Derby County U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brentford U21 to win✓
62%
1.60
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Brentford U21 ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brentford U21 / FT Brentford U21✓
38%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Brentford U21 – last 6
LWLLDW
6 Oct
@ Milton Keynes Dons
1–7
L
22 Sep
@ Bromley
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Manchester United U21
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–2
L
8 Sep
@ Hull City U21
1–1
D
31 Aug
vs Sunderland U21
5–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Derby County U21 – last 6
LLWDWL
18 Sep
@ Burnley U21
1–4
L
11 Sep
vs Tottenham Hotspur U21
1–3
L
8 Sep
@ Gateshead
3–1
W
31 Aug
vs West Bromwich Albion U21
4–4
D
24 Aug
@ Reading U21
3–1
W
18 Aug
@ FC Halifax Town
2–6
L
2.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brentford U21 and Derby County U21.
What is the prediction for Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our pick is Brentford U21 to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
On our numbers Brentford U21 have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Derby County U21 22%.
How many goals will there be in Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
Our predicted score is Brentford U21 2–1 Derby County U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21?
Brentford U21 vs Derby County U21 (Premier League Cup) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
