Serie D Girone G · ItalyLatte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Sarrabus Ogliastra to win @ 2.69 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Latte Dolce 1.4 – 1.4 Sarrabus Ogliastra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Latte Dolce and Sarrabus Ogliastra on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Latte Dolce have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.2 per game. Sarrabus Ogliastra have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded. Sarrabus Ogliastra come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.4 for Latte Dolce, 1.4 for Sarrabus Ogliastra). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.30. For a bigger price, Sarrabus Ogliastra to win at 2.69 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sarrabus Ogliastra to win ✗ | 40% | 2.52 | 2.69 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 60% | 1.68 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.77 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.42 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sarrabus Ogliastra / FT Sarrabus Ogliastra ✗ | 22% | 4.51 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 11.87 | – |
Form
Latte Dolce – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Aranova | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Sep | vs Città di Anagni | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Atletico Lodigiani | 2–2 | D |
| 12 Sep | vs Paganese | 2–3 | L |
| 6 Sep | @ Ossese | 0–3 | L |
| 8 Aug | vs Torres | 0–2 | L |
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
| 27 Sep | vs Unipomezia | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Albalonga | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Certosa V. Campagnano | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Anzio | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Sep | vs Monastir | 1–2 | L |
| 3 May | vs Olbia | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Latte Dolce and Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Serie D Girone G table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sarnese | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 2 |  Trastevere | 10 | -1 | 18 |
| 3 |  Albalonga | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 4 |  Monastir | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 5 |  Certosa V. Campagnano | 11 | +3 | 17 |
| 6 |  Unipomezia | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Anzio | 10 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |  Afragolese | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Aranova | 11 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 |  Paganese | 11 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |  Ossese | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 |  Città di Anagni | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Budoni | 11 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 |  Venafro | 11 | -4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Sarrabus Ogliastra | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 16 |  Gelbison | 11 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  Latte Dolce | 11 | -5 | 10 |
| 18 |  Atletico Lodigiani | 11 | -11 | 6 |
More Serie D Girone G predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
On our numbers Latte Dolce have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarrabus Ogliastra 40%.
How many goals will there be in Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
Latte Dolce vs Sarrabus Ogliastra (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.