Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.21
8/10Rating
1.21Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVirtus Francavilla to win58% · @1.63
Double chanceEither team to win80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.71
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.13
Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone H sees Virtus Francavilla take on Real Aversa on Sunday 15 November, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II. Virtus Francavilla are 1st with 27 points from 11 games (top of the table), while Real Aversa sit 11th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Virtus Francavilla's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Francavilla 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Real Aversa's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Manfredonia 0–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Virtus Francavilla arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Virtus Francavilla and 0.9 for Real Aversa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Virtus Francavilla 58%, draw 20%, Real Aversa 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.71.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Real Aversa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Francavilla58%fair 1.71 · @1.63
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.70
Real Aversa22%fair 4.61 · @4.20
2.79Expected goals
1.84Virtus Francavilla xG
0.95Real Aversa xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%
From our goals model: Virtus Francavilla 1.8 – 0.9 Real Aversa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Virtus Francavilla
Real Aversa
Attack vs Serie D Girone H average
+28%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.85
0.91
Our own ratings from every Serie D Girone H result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Virtus Francavilla to win
58%
1.71
1.63
Double chance
Either team to win
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.98
1.71
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.74
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.33
Half-time result
Virtus Francavilla ahead at half-time
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Virtus Francavilla / FT Virtus Francavilla
36%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.13
–
Form
Virtus Francavilla – last 6
WWWWLW
8 Nov
@ Francavilla
1–0
W
1 Nov
@ Turris
2–1
W
28 Oct
@ Fidelis Andria
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs Manfredonia
2–0
W
18 Oct
@ Fidelis Andria
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Real Forio 2014
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Aversa – last 6
DDWDDL
8 Nov
vs Manfredonia
0–0
D
1 Nov
@ Real Forio 2014
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs L'Aquila
6–0
W
25 Oct
vs Turris
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Gladiator
3–3
D
11 Oct
vs Fidelis Andria
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Francavilla and Real Aversa.
What is the prediction for Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
On our numbers Virtus Francavilla have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Real Aversa 22%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
Our predicted score is Virtus Francavilla 1–1 Real Aversa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa?
Virtus Francavilla vs Real Aversa (Serie D Girone H) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
