Serie D Girone E · Italy
Robur Siena
Grassina
Robur Siena vs Grassina prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.39 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.96 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Robur Siena 2.0 – 0.8 Grassina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Robur Siena are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Grassina.
Robur Siena have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Grassina have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Robur Siena come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Robur Siena, 0.8 for Grassina). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.39 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 1.96 is our value angle (56% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Robur Siena to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| Double chance | Robur Siena or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.96 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | 1.66 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.39 |
| Half-time result | Robur Siena ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Robur Siena / FT Robur Siena ✓ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.29 | – |
Form
Robur Siena – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 4–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | vs Ancona | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Rondinella | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ Ternana | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Progresso | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Oct | @ Flaminia | 3–0 | W |
Grassina – last 6
| 1 Nov | vs Rondinella | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | @ Montevarchi Calcio | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Progresso | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Tau Altopascio | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Lucchese | 3–6 | L |
| 27 Sep | @ Mezzolara | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Robur Siena and Grassina.
More Serie D Girone E predictions
Lucchese1
San Donato Tavarnelle0
1XLucchese or draw
86%@1.24
✓
FT
Mezzolara1
Gavorrano1
GGBoth teams to score
57%@1.85
✓
FT
Montevarchi Calcio3
Sasso Marconi Zola1
GGBoth teams to score
56%@1.77
✓
FT
Rondinella0
Ternana3
2Ternana to win
60%@1.73
✓
FT
Scandicci1
Flaminia2
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
74%@1.25
✓
FT
Seravezza1
Prato3
GGBoth teams to score
57%@1.70
✓
FT
Tau Altopascio0
Terranuova Traiana0
1XTau Altopascio or draw
85%@1.24
✓
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Robur Siena vs Grassina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.39.
Who will win Robur Siena vs Grassina?
On our numbers Robur Siena have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Grassina 14%.
How many goals will there be in Robur Siena vs Grassina?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Robur Siena vs Grassina?
Robur Siena vs Grassina (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.