Serie D Girone E · Italy

Montevarchi Calcio

LWWLL
3–1
FT

Sasso Marconi Zola

WLLWD

Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola prediction & analysis

56%
Footrivo pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.80 · bookmaker 1.77 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.77Odds
2

Value bet: Sasso Marconi Zola to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultMontevarchi Calcio to win ✓43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.17

Win chances

Montevarchi Calcio43%fair 2.31 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Sasso Marconi Zola35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.68Expected goals
1.43Montevarchi Calcio xG
1.25Sasso Marconi Zola xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Montevarchi Calcio 1.4 – 1.2 Sasso Marconi Zola expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Montevarchi Calcio hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 35% for Sasso Marconi Zola.

Montevarchi Calcio have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.0 per game. Sasso Marconi Zola have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Montevarchi Calcio, 1.2 for Sasso Marconi Zola). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 56% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.77 is close to our fair price of 1.80. For a bigger price, Sasso Marconi Zola to win at 3.10 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontevarchi Calcio to win ✓43%2.312.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.77
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.951.72
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montevarchi Calcio / FT Montevarchi Calcio ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%10.17–

Form

Montevarchi Calcio – last 6

LWWLLW
1 Nov@ San Donato Tavarnelle0–1L
25 Octvs Grassina1–0W
18 Oct@ Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano3–0W
11 Octvs Rondinella0–1L
4 Oct@ Ternana1–4L
27 Sepvs Progresso2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sasso Marconi Zola – last 6

WLLWDW
1 Novvs Progresso4–0W
28 Oct@ Piacenza0–2L
25 Oct@ Tau Altopascio1–2L
18 Octvs Lucchese2–0W
11 Oct@ Mezzolara2–2D
7 Octvs Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Montevarchi Calcio and Sasso Marconi Zola.

More Serie D Girone E predictions

FT Lucchese1 San Donato Tavarnelle0 652114 1XLucchese or draw 86%@1.24 ✓ FT Mezzolara1 Gavorrano1 322245 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.85 ✓ FT Rondinella0 Ternana3 152560 2Ternana to win 60%@1.73 ✓ FT Scandicci1 Flaminia2 472231 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓ FT Seravezza1 Prato3 352244 GGBoth teams to score 57%@1.70 ✓ FT Robur Siena4 Grassina0 652014 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 67%@1.39 ✗ FT Tau Altopascio0 Terranuova Traiana0 642115 1XTau Altopascio or draw 85%@1.24 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.77.

Who will win Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

On our numbers Montevarchi Calcio have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sasso Marconi Zola 35%.

How many goals will there be in Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola?

Montevarchi Calcio vs Sasso Marconi Zola (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.