Serie D Girone E · ItalyScandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle prediction & analysis
Scandicci or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
Value bet: Scandicci to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Scandicci 1.7 – 0.9 San Donato Tavarnelle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Scandicci hold the edge on home soil with a 57% chance of winning, against 19% for San Donato Tavarnelle.
Scandicci have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. San Donato Tavarnelle have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Scandicci come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Scandicci, 0.9 for San Donato Tavarnelle). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 1–1 (11%), 2–0 (11%).
Our pick is Scandicci or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.24. For a bigger price, Scandicci to win at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Scandicci to win ✓ | 57% | 1.77 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Scandicci or draw ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Scandicci / FT Scandicci ✗ | 35% | 2.89 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 13% | 7.44 | – |
Form
Scandicci – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Terranuova Traiana | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 3–3 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Sasso Marconi Zola | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Ternana | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | @ Grassina | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Rondinella | 3–0 | W |
San Donato Tavarnelle – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Tau Altopascio | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Prato | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Mezzolara | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Flaminia | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | vs Gavorrano | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Sep | @ Terranuova Traiana | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Scandicci and San Donato Tavarnelle.
Serie D Girone E table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Prato | 11 | +13 | 25 |
| 2 |  Robur Siena | 11 | +14 | 22 |
| 3 |  Ternana | 11 | +12 | 21 |
| 4 |  Gavorrano | 11 | +7 | 21 |
| 5 |  Flaminia | 11 | +2 | 19 |
| 6 |  Lucchese | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 7 |  Terranuova Traiana | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 8 |  Tau Altopascio | 11 | -4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Montevarchi Calcio | 11 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 |  Seravezza | 11 | +5 | 15 |
| 11 |  Scandicci | 11 | +3 | 15 |
| 12 |  San Donato Tavarnelle | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 |  Sasso Marconi Zola | 11 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Mezzolara | 11 | -6 | 11 |
| 15 |  Rondinella | 11 | -8 | 10 |
| 16 |  Grassina | 11 | -11 | 7 |
| 17 |  Progresso | 11 | -16 | 6 |
| 18 |  Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano | 11 | -16 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone E predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Our pick is Scandicci or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
On our numbers Scandicci have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Donato Tavarnelle 19%.
How many goals will there be in Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle?
Scandicci vs San Donato Tavarnelle (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.