Value bet: Prato to win @ 1.89 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPrato to win ✗61% · @1.89
Double chancePrato or draw ✓84% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.12
Terranuova Traiana vs Prato preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone E sees Terranuova Traiana take on Prato on Saturday 3 October, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Terranuova Traiana are 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Prato sit 1st on 25 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Terranuova Traiana's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Seravezza 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Prato's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 2–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Prato arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 22 February 2026, finished Prato 1–0 Terranuova Traiana.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for Terranuova Traiana and 1.9 for Prato. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Prato to win at 1.89 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Terranuova Traiana 0–2 Prato. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Terranuova Traiana16%fair 6.06 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.70
Prato61%fair 1.65 · @1.89
2.71Expected goals
0.86Terranuova Traiana xG
1.86Prato xG
52%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Terranuova Traiana 0.9 – 1.9 Prato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Terranuova Traiana vs Prato?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Terranuova Traiana vs Prato?
On our numbers Terranuova Traiana have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Prato 61%.
How many goals will there be in Terranuova Traiana vs Prato?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Terranuova Traiana vs Prato?
Our predicted score is Terranuova Traiana 0–2 Prato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Terranuova Traiana vs Prato?
Terranuova Traiana vs Prato (Serie D Girone E) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
