Serie D Girone I · ItalyRagusa vs Vibonese prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.27 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ragusa 0.7 – 1.9 Vibonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Vibonese travel as clear favourites – 64% to win, against 13% for Ragusa.
Ragusa have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.3 per game. Vibonese have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Vibonese come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (0.7 for Ragusa, 1.9 for Vibonese). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Ragusa have won 0, Vibonese have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.27 is close to our fair price of 1.38.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vibonese to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.64 |
| Double chance | Vibonese or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.98 | 2.04 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 73% | 1.38 | 1.27 |
| Half-time result | Vibonese ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vibonese / FT Vibonese ✗ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.30 | – |
Form
Ragusa – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Igea Virtus | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Nissa | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Calcio Avola | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Trapani 1905 | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Licata | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Vigor Lamezia | 1–1 | D |
Vibonese – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Gela | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | @ Reggina | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Digiesse PraiaTortora | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Nissa | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | vs AC Palermo | 3–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | @ Igea Virtus | 3–4 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Mar 2026 | Ragusa v Vibonese | 0–0 |
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ragusa vs Vibonese?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win Ragusa vs Vibonese?
On our numbers Ragusa have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vibonese 64%.
How many goals will there be in Ragusa vs Vibonese?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Ragusa vs Vibonese?
Ragusa vs Vibonese (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.