Serie D Girone I · ItalySambiase vs Nissa prediction & analysis
Under 2.5 goals
Fair pick · fair odds 1.83 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sambiase 1.4 – 1.1 Nissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sambiase hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 31% for Nissa.
Sambiase have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Nissa have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded. Sambiase come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.4 for Sambiase, 1.1 for Nissa). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sambiase have won 0, Nissa have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals at a 55% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.83.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sambiase to win ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.83 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.28 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sambiase / FT Sambiase ✓ | 26% | 3.79 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✓ | 12% | 8.66 | – |
Form
Sambiase – last 6
| 18 Oct | @ Calcio Avola | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | vs Trapani 1905 | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Licata | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Vigor Lamezia | 4–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | @ Milazzo | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | vs Modica | 1–0 | W |
Nissa – last 6
| 18 Oct | vs Reggina | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | @ Ragusa | 1–1 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Igea Virtus | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sep | vs Vibonese | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Calcio Avola | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Sep | vs Trapani 1905 | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 26 Apr 2026 | Sambiase v Nissa | 1–1 |
Serie D Girone I table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Reggina | 11 | +21 | 26 |
| 2 |  Sambiase | 11 | +11 | 26 |
| 3 |  Vibonese | 11 | +14 | 24 |
| 4 |  Calcio Avola | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 5 |  Milazzo | 11 | +1 | 19 |
| 6 |  Digiesse PraiaTortora | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 7 |  Igea Virtus | 11 | +3 | 18 |
| 8 |  Gela | 11 | +4 | 15 |
| 9 |  Siracusa | 11 | +8 | 14 |
| 10 |  AC Palermo | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Licata | 11 | -11 | 14 |
| 12 |  Modica | 11 | +1 | 13 |
| 13 |  Nissa | 11 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Trapani 1905 | 11 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 |  CastrumFavara | 11 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 |  Vigor Lamezia | 11 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 |  Ragusa | 11 | -14 | 3 |
| 18 |  Enna | 11 | -23 | 3 |
More Serie D Girone I predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sambiase vs Nissa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Sambiase vs Nissa?
On our numbers Sambiase have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nissa 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sambiase vs Nissa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Sambiase vs Nissa?
Sambiase vs Nissa (Serie D Girone I) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.