Value bet: Milan II to win @ 2.94 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMilan II to win ✓38% · @2.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · fair 1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Virtus Verona vs Milan II preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D Girone B sees Virtus Verona take on Milan II on Sunday 1 November, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini. Virtus Verona are 12th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Milan II sit 3rd on 23 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Virtus Verona's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Nibbiano & Valtidone 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Milan II's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Pavonese 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Milan II arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Virtus Verona and 1.3 for Milan II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Virtus Verona 38%, draw 24%, Milan II 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Milan II to win at 2.94 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.24. Predicted score: Virtus Verona 1–1 Milan II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Virtus Verona38%fair 2.65 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.20
Milan II38%fair 2.62 · @2.94
2.60Expected goals
1.30Virtus Verona xG
1.30Milan II xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Virtus Verona 1.3 – 1.3 Milan II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Milan II to win✓
38%
2.62
2.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.34
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Milan II / FT Milan II✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Form
Virtus Verona – last 6
LWDLLW
25 Oct
@ Nibbiano & Valtidone
0–1
L
18 Oct
vs Tritium
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Chievo
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
0–3
L
27 Sep
vs Pavonese
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ Club Milano
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Milan II – last 6
DDWLWW
28 Oct
@ Pavonese
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Club Milano
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Chievo
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Rovato Vertovese
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Villa Valle
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Brusaporto
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Verona and Milan II.
What is the prediction for Virtus Verona vs Milan II?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Virtus Verona vs Milan II?
On our numbers Virtus Verona have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Milan II 38%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Verona vs Milan II?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Verona vs Milan II?
Our predicted score is Virtus Verona 1–1 Milan II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Virtus Verona vs Milan II?
Virtus Verona vs Milan II (Serie D Girone B) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Mario Gavagnin-Sinibaldo Nocini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
