Value bet: Modena U19 to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultModena U19 to win ✗59% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Modena U19 vs Cremonese U19 preview and prediction
The match
Modena U19 host Cremonese U19 in the Campionato Primavera 2 on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Modena U19 are 11th with 8 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Cremonese U19 sit 4th on 15 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Modena U19's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Brescia U19 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Cremonese U19's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Udinese U19 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.4 for Modena U19 and 1.5 for Cremonese U19. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Modena U19 to win at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Modena U19 2–1 Cremonese U19. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Modena U1959%fair 1.70 · @1.91
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @3.75
Cremonese U1923%fair 4.27 · @3.10
3.93Expected goals
2.43Modena U19 xG
1.50Cremonese U19 xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Modena U19 2.4 – 1.5 Cremonese U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena U19 to win✗
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Modena U19 ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena U19 / FT Modena U19✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Modena U19 – last 6
LDLWLW
10 Oct
@ Brescia U19
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Sampdoria U19
4–4
D
12 Sep
@ Cittadella U19
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs Pro Vercelli U19
4–0
W
30 May
vs AlbinoLeffe U19
2–3
L
23 May
@ Perugia U19
2–1
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cremonese U19 – last 4
LLWW
10 Oct
vs Udinese U19
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Mantova U19
1–4
L
12 Sep
vs Venezia U19
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Lecco U19
4–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena U19 and Cremonese U19.
What is the prediction for Modena U19 vs Cremonese U19?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Modena U19 vs Cremonese U19?
On our numbers Modena U19 have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Cremonese U19 23%.
How many goals will there be in Modena U19 vs Cremonese U19?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena U19 vs Cremonese U19?
Our predicted score is Modena U19 2–1 Cremonese U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Modena U19 vs Cremonese U19?
Modena U19 vs Cremonese U19 (Campionato Primavera 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
