Value bet: Spezia U19 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpezia U19 to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.93
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19 preview and prediction
The match
Spezia U19 travel to face Ascoli U19 in the Campionato Primavera 2 on Saturday 5 September (11:00 WAT). Ascoli U19 are 15th with 3 points from 8 games (in the top half), while Spezia U19 sit 11th on 10 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ascoli U19's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Latina U19 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Spezia U19's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Benevento U19 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Spezia U19 arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Spezia U19 4–0 Ascoli U19.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Ascoli U19 and 1.6 for Spezia U19. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 52%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Spezia U19 to win at 2.50 – 42% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 57% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Ascoli U19 1–2 Spezia U19. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ascoli U1936%fair 2.76 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.60
Spezia U1942%fair 2.36 · @2.50
2.98Expected goals
1.42Ascoli U19 xG
1.56Spezia U19 xG
52%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ascoli U19 1.4 – 1.6 Spezia U19 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19?
On our numbers Ascoli U19 have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spezia U19 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19?
Our predicted score is Ascoli U19 1–2 Spezia U19, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19?
Ascoli U19 vs Spezia U19 (Campionato Primavera 2) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
