APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Melbourne Victory or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMelbourne Victory to win ✗58% · @1.73
Double chanceMelbourne Victory or draw ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.65
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory preview and prediction
The match
Melbourne Victory travel to Lambert Park in the Australia Cup on Wednesday 19 August (10:30 WAT) to face APIA Leichhardt Tigers.
Form guide
APIA Leichhardt Tigers's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat SD Raiders 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Melbourne Victory's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Western Sydney Wanderers 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
APIA Leichhardt Tigers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for APIA Leichhardt Tigers and 1.8 for Melbourne Victory. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Melbourne Victory or draw (80%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Melbourne Victory or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0–1 Melbourne Victory. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
APIA Leichhardt Tigers20%fair 5.08 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.50
Melbourne Victory58%fair 1.72 · @1.73
2.75Expected goals
0.94APIA Leichhardt Tigers xG
1.81Melbourne Victory xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%
From our goals model: APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0.9 – 1.8 Melbourne Victory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Melbourne Victory to win✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Double chance
Melbourne Victory or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Melbourne Victory ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Melbourne Victory / FT Melbourne Victory✗
36%
2.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.65
–
Form
APIA Leichhardt Tigers – last 6
WDDWWW
15 Aug
vs SD Raiders
3–1
W
12 Aug
vs Sydney United
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ St. George Saints
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Sydney Olympic
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs UNSW
4–1
W
18 Jul
@ Western Sydney Wanderers U23
5–3
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Melbourne Victory – last 6
DWLWDD
8 Aug
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Kingborough Lions
4–0
W
2 May
vs Sydney
0–1
L
25 Apr
@ Western Sydney Wanderers
2–0
W
17 Apr
vs Newcastle Jets
2–2
D
11 Apr
@ Auckland
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between APIA Leichhardt Tigers and Melbourne Victory.
What is the prediction for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
Our pick is Melbourne Victory or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
On our numbers APIA Leichhardt Tigers have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Melbourne Victory 58%.
How many goals will there be in APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
Our predicted score is APIA Leichhardt Tigers 0–1 Melbourne Victory, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory?
APIA Leichhardt Tigers vs Melbourne Victory (Australia Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at Lambert Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
