Value bet: Larisa to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultLarisa to win ✓47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83
Kallithea vs Larisa preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Kallithea take on Larisa on Monday 17 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Kallithea's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to AEK Athens FC 0–4 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Larisa's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Trikala 4–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kallithea arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.4 for Kallithea and 1.8 for Larisa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kallithea 30%, draw 22%, Larisa 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Larisa to win at 2.60 – 47% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kallithea 1–1 Larisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kallithea30%fair 3.32 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Larisa47%fair 2.11 · @2.60
3.23Expected goals
1.41Kallithea xG
1.82Larisa xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
2–17%
0–27%
2–27%
From our goals model: Kallithea 1.4 – 1.8 Larisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Larisa to win✓
47%
2.11
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.65
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Larisa / FT Larisa✓
29%
3.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
Kallithea – last 6
LDDWWW
8 Aug
@ AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
19 Apr
@ Ellas Syros
0–0
D
4 Apr
vs Panargiakos
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ Ilioupoli
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Kissamikos
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Panargiakos
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Larisa – last 6
WLDDLD
11 Aug
@ Trikala
4–0
W
21 May
@ Kifisia
2–3
L
12 May
@ Panetolikos
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Kifisia
1–1
D
8 Apr
vs Panetolikos
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs PAOK
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kallithea and Larisa.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Kallithea vs Larisa?
On our numbers Kallithea have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Larisa 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kallithea vs Larisa?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kallithea vs Larisa?
Our predicted score is Kallithea 1–1 Larisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Kallithea vs Larisa?
Kallithea vs Larisa (Cup) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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