Value bet: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBentín Tacna Heroica to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.86
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Universidad host Bentín Tacna Heroica in the Segunda División on Monday 24 August, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia. Alianza Universidad are 5th with 21 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Bentín Tacna Heroica sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Alianza Universidad's last 5: DDLWW Most recently they drew with Santos 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Bentín Tacna Heroica's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sport Huancayo 2 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bentín Tacna Heroica arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Alianza Universidad and 1.2 for Bentín Tacna Heroica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Bentín Tacna Heroica to win at 3.10 – 39% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.65. Predicted score: Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Universidad37%fair 2.69 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.10
Bentín Tacna Heroica39%fair 2.59 · @3.10
2.36Expected goals
1.16Alianza Universidad xG
1.19Bentín Tacna Heroica xG
46%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Alianza Universidad 1.2 – 1.2 Bentín Tacna Heroica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bentín Tacna Heroica to win✗
39%
2.59
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bentín Tacna Heroica / FT Bentín Tacna Heroica✗
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.86
–
Form
Alianza Universidad – last 6
DDLWWL
17 Aug
@ Santos
3–3
D
31 Jul
vs Sport Huancayo 2
1–1
D
24 Jul
@ Comerciantes
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Ayacucho FC
3–2
W
26 Jun
vs Minas
3–1
W
19 Jun
@ ADT
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bentín Tacna Heroica – last 6
WDWWWD
16 Aug
vs Sport Huancayo 2
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Comerciantes
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Ayacucho FC
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Deportivo Binacional
3–0
W
19 Jul
vs Minas
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Sporting Cristal
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alianza Universidad and Bentín Tacna Heroica.
What is the prediction for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
On our numbers Alianza Universidad have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bentín Tacna Heroica 39%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Our predicted score is Alianza Universidad 1–1 Bentín Tacna Heroica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica?
Alianza Universidad vs Bentín Tacna Heroica (Segunda División) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heraclio Tapia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
