Thursday, 12 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Emperor Cup · Japan · Shiranami Stadium

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi prediction & analysis

73%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultKagoshima United to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓80% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi preview and prediction

The match

Kagoshima United host Renofa Yamaguchi in the Emperor Cup on Wednesday 19 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Shiranami Stadium.

Form guide

Kagoshima United's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Nara Club 3–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Renofa Yamaguchi's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat FC Ryukyu 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Kagoshima United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Renofa Yamaguchi 2–1 Kagoshima United. Across their last 2 meetings Kagoshima United have won 1, Renofa Yamaguchi 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Kagoshima United and 0.8 for Renofa Yamaguchi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Kagoshima United 1–0 Renofa Yamaguchi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Kagoshima United60%fair 1.66 · @1.67
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.45
Renofa Yamaguchi20%fair 5.10 · @4.80
2.58Expected goals
1.74Kagoshima United xG
0.84Renofa Yamaguchi xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Kagoshima United 1.7 – 0.8 Renofa Yamaguchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKagoshima United to win ✓60%1.661.67
Double chanceKagoshima United or draw ✓80%1.241.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.911.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Kagoshima United / FT Kagoshima United ✓36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.57–

Form

Kagoshima United – last 6

WWWDWW
16 Aug@ Nara Club3–1W
8 Augvs Thespakusatsu Gunma1–0W
7 Jun@ Blaublitz Akita2–0W
30 May@ Albirex Niigata0–0D
24 May@ Kitakyushu5–1W
17 Mayvs Roasso Kumamoto2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Renofa Yamaguchi – last 6

WLLDLW
15 Augvs FC Ryukyu1–0W
8 Aug@ Parceiro Nagano0–1L
6 Jun@ Yokohama FC1–2L
30 May@ Kochi United2–2D
9 Mayvs Tegevajaro Miyazaki0–1L
6 May@ Biwako Shiga4–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Apr 2026Renofa Yamaguchi v Kagoshima United2–1
22 Feb 2026Kagoshima United v Renofa Yamaguchi1–0
Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi head-to-head page →

More Emperor Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

On our numbers Kagoshima United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Renofa Yamaguchi 20%.

How many goals will there be in Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Our predicted score is Kagoshima United 1–0 Renofa Yamaguchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Kagoshima United vs Renofa Yamaguchi (Emperor Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 19 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Shiranami Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.