Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
2
Value bet: Ordino to win @ 2.35 – our chance 45% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOrdino to win ✗45% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.26
Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino preview and prediction
The match
Ordino travel to Estadi Nacional in the 1a Divisió on Sunday 20 September (13:00 WAT) to face Esperança d'Andorra. Esperança d'Andorra are 4th with 13 points from 8 games (in the top four), while Ordino sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esperança d'Andorra's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Ranger's 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ordino's last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Casa de Portugal 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Ordino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Esperança d'Andorra and 1.8 for Ordino. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esperança d'Andorra 34%, draw 20%, Ordino 45%.
Value angle: Ordino to win at 2.35 – 45% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 59% chance at odds of 1.73, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Esperança d'Andorra 1–2 Ordino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esperança d'Andorra34%fair 2.91 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.50
Ordino45%fair 2.20 · @2.35
3.31Expected goals
1.52Esperança d'Andorra xG
1.79Ordino xG
54%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
0–26%
From our goals model: Esperança d'Andorra 1.5 – 1.8 Ordino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordino to win✗
45%
2.20
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordino / FT Ordino✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.26
–
Form
Esperança d'Andorra – last 6
LDWLLL
13 Sep
@ Ranger's
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
2–2
D
27 May
vs Sporting Escaldes
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–4
L
13 Apr
vs Penya Encarnada
0–1
L
11 Mar
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ordino – last 6
WWWLDL
13 Sep
vs Casa de Portugal
3–2
W
6 Sep
@ Sporting Escaldes
2–1
W
10 May
@ FC Santa Coloma
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Inter Club d'Escaldes
0–4
L
22 Mar
@ Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ UE Santa Coloma
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esperança d'Andorra and Ordino.
What is the prediction for Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino?
On our numbers Esperança d'Andorra have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ordino 45%.
How many goals will there be in Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino?
Our predicted score is Esperança d'Andorra 1–2 Ordino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino?
Esperança d'Andorra vs Ordino (1a Divisió) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Nacional.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
