Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Najma to win ✗42% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Al Najma vs East Riffa preview and prediction
The match
Al Najma host East Riffa in the Premier League on Friday 11 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT). Al Najma are 8th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while East Riffa sit 6th on 8 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Najma's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Malkiya 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.6 for Al Najma and 1.4 for East Riffa. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Najma 42%, draw 24%, East Riffa 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.67, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Al Najma 1–1 East Riffa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Najma42%fair 2.41 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
East Riffa34%fair 2.91 · @2.70
3.00Expected goals
1.58Al Najma xG
1.42East Riffa xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Al Najma 1.6 – 1.4 East Riffa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Najma to win✗
42%
2.41
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Najma / FT Al Najma✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
Al Najma – last 6
WLWWWL
2 Sep
@ Malkiya
1–0
W
27 Aug
vs Khalidiya
2–7
L
30 May
vs Manama
3–2
W
25 May
@ Budaiya
3–0
W
21 May
vs Al Ittihad
2–1
W
4 May
vs Muharraq
1–3
L
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
East Riffa – last 2
DL
2 Sep
vs Sitra
0–0
D
28 Aug
vs Al-Hidd
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Najma and East Riffa.
What is the prediction for Al Najma vs East Riffa?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Al Najma vs East Riffa?
On our numbers Al Najma have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and East Riffa 34%.
How many goals will there be in Al Najma vs East Riffa?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Najma vs East Riffa?
Our predicted score is Al Najma 1–1 East Riffa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al Najma vs East Riffa?
Al Najma vs East Riffa (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
