Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Riffa to win ✓70% · @1.40
Double chanceAl Riffa or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗58% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗22% · fair 4.62
Manama vs Al Riffa preview and prediction
The match
Al Riffa travel to face Manama in the Premier League on Saturday 5 September (17:00 WAT). Manama are 11th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Al Riffa sit 1st on 15 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Manama's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with A'Ali 1–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Riffa's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Al Ittifaq Maqaba 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Riffa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.4 for Manama and 1.6 for Al Riffa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manama 11%, draw 19%, Al Riffa 70%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Not both teams to score at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Riffa to win – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Manama 0–1 Al Riffa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manama11%fair 8.77 · @6.50
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @3.90
Al Riffa70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
2.00Expected goals
0.40Manama xG
1.60Al Riffa xG
42%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–122%
0–217%
0–014%
0–39%
1–19%
1–27%
From our goals model: Manama 0.4 – 1.6 Al Riffa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Riffa to win✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Double chance
Al Riffa or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Riffa / FT Al Riffa✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
22%
4.62
–
Form
Manama – last 4
DLWW
29 Aug
@ A'Ali
1–1
D
30 May
@ Al Najma
2–3
L
25 May
vs Al Ittihad
3–0
W
21 May
@ Budaiya
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al Riffa – last 6
WWWWLW
29 Aug
vs Al Ittifaq Maqaba
2–0
W
11 May
@ Malkiya
2–0
W
5 May
vs Al Shabab
4–0
W
29 Apr
@ Al Ahli
3–2
W
24 Apr
@ Muharraq
1–2
L
17 Apr
vs A'Ali
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manama and Al Riffa.
Our pick is Al Riffa to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Manama vs Al Riffa?
On our numbers Manama have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al Riffa 70%.
How many goals will there be in Manama vs Al Riffa?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manama vs Al Riffa?
Our predicted score is Manama 0–1 Al Riffa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Manama vs Al Riffa?
Manama vs Al Riffa (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
