Value bet: Carabobo FC to win @ 1.67 – our chance 63% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCarabobo FC to win ✓63% · @1.67
Double chanceCarabobo FC or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓16% · fair 6.41
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC preview and prediction
The match
Carabobo FC host Metropolitanos FC in the Primera División on Monday 17 August, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado. Carabobo FC are 1st with 11 points from 5 games (top of the table), while Metropolitanos FC sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Carabobo FC's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Trujillanos FC 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Metropolitanos FC's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat UCV 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Metropolitanos FC 1–5 Carabobo FC. Across their last 2 meetings Carabobo FC have won 1, Metropolitanos FC 0, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Carabobo FC and 0.7 for Metropolitanos FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Carabobo FC 63%, draw 24%, Metropolitanos FC 12%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Carabobo FC to win at 1.67 – 63% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Carabobo FC 1–0 Metropolitanos FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Carabobo FC63%fair 1.58 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.45
Metropolitanos FC12%fair 8.17 · @4.75
2.43Expected goals
1.78Carabobo FC xG
0.66Metropolitanos FC xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Carabobo FC 1.8 – 0.7 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
On our numbers Carabobo FC have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Metropolitanos FC 12%.
How many goals will there be in Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our predicted score is Carabobo FC 1–0 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Carabobo FC vs Metropolitanos FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
