Value bet: Gremio to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.58
Gremio vs Internacional preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Gremio take on Internacional on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Gremio's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Chapecoense-sc 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Internacional's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Bahia 2–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gremio arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 August 2026, finished Internacional 0–0 Gremio. Across their last 2 meetings Gremio have won 0, Internacional 0, with 2 draws and 0.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Gremio and 1.1 for Internacional. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gremio 36%, draw 25%, Internacional 39%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Gremio to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: Gremio 0–1 Internacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gremio36%fair 2.78 · @3.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Internacional39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
2.10Expected goals
1.02Gremio xG
1.08Internacional xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–013%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Gremio 1.0 – 1.1 Internacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Gremio vs Internacional?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Gremio vs Internacional?
On our numbers Gremio have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Internacional 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gremio vs Internacional?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gremio vs Internacional?
Our predicted score is Gremio 0–1 Internacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gremio vs Internacional?
Gremio vs Internacional (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
