Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Internacional to win @ 1.93 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional to win ✗64% · @1.93
Double chanceInternacional or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.79
Internacional vs Gremio preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Internacional take on Gremio on Friday 28 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Internacional's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Atletico-MG 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gremio's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to RB Bragantino 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Internacional 0–0 Gremio.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Internacional and 0.7 for Gremio. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional 64%, draw 22%, Gremio 14%.
Safer route: Internacional or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Internacional to win at 1.93 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Internacional or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Internacional 1–0 Gremio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional64%fair 1.56 · @1.93
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Gremio14%fair 7.23 · @4.00
2.51Expected goals
1.82Internacional xG
0.70Gremio xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Internacional 1.8 – 0.7 Gremio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional to win✗
64%
1.56
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Internacional or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Internacional ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional / FT Internacional✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.79
–
Form
Internacional – last 6
DDDLWD
22 Aug
vs Atletico-MG
0–0
D
18 Aug
vs Remo
1–1
D
9 Aug
@ Palmeiras
0–0
D
7 Aug
@ Corinthians
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Corinthians
2–0
W
29 Jul
vs Flamengo
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Gremio – last 6
LLWWDL
23 Aug
@ RB Bragantino
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Atletico-MG
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Sao Paulo
2–1
W
5 Aug
vs Mirassol
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Mirassol
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Bolívar
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
12 Apr 2026
Internacional v Gremio
0–0
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our pick is Internacional or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Internacional vs Gremio?
On our numbers Internacional have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gremio 14%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional vs Gremio?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional vs Gremio?
Our predicted score is Internacional 1–0 Gremio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Internacional vs Gremio?
Internacional vs Gremio (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
