Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Bali United to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBali United to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceBali United or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Arema FC vs Bali United preview and prediction
The match
Arema FC host Bali United in the Liga 1 on Saturday 31 October, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT) at Kanjuruhan Stadium. Arema FC are 14th with 9 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Bali United sit 3rd on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Arema FC's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Dewa United 4–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Bali United's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Persita 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
Bali United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Arema FC 3–4 Bali United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.5 for Arema FC and 2.6 for Bali United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Arema FC 20%, draw 21%, Bali United 59%.
Safer route: Bali United or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Bali United to win at 1.85 – 59% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bali United or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Arema FC 1–2 Bali United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arema FC20%fair 5.03 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Bali United59%fair 1.71 · @1.85
4.14Expected goals
1.54Arema FC xG
2.60Bali United xG
67%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–37%
2–26%
1–16%
2–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Arema FC 1.5 – 2.6 Bali United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arema FC vs Bali United?
Our pick is Bali United or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Arema FC vs Bali United?
On our numbers Arema FC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bali United 59%.
How many goals will there be in Arema FC vs Bali United?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arema FC vs Bali United?
Our predicted score is Arema FC 1–2 Bali United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Arema FC vs Bali United?
Arema FC vs Bali United (Liga 1) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Kanjuruhan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
