PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya preview and prediction
The match
PSM Makassar host Persebaya Surabaya in the Liga 1 on Thursday 22 October, with kick-off at 09:30 (WAT) at Gelora BJ Habibie. PSM Makassar are 12th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Persebaya Surabaya sit 8th on 13 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
PSM Makassar's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat PSIM Yogyakarta 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with PSS Sleman 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSM Makassar.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for PSM Makassar and 1.7 for Persebaya Surabaya. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.75. Predicted score: PSM Makassar 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSM Makassar29%fair 3.50 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Persebaya Surabaya49%fair 2.03 · @2.05
3.00Expected goals
1.26PSM Makassar xG
1.74Persebaya Surabaya xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: PSM Makassar 1.3 – 1.7 Persebaya Surabaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
On our numbers PSM Makassar have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Persebaya Surabaya 49%.
How many goals will there be in PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Our predicted score is PSM Makassar 1–1 Persebaya Surabaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?
PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya (Liga 1) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora BJ Habibie.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
