Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Persebaya Surabaya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersebaya Surabaya to win ✗67% · @1.60
Double chancePersebaya Surabaya or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.15
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman preview and prediction
The match
The Liga 1 sees Persebaya Surabaya take on PSS Sleman on Sunday 18 October, kicking off at 09:30 (WAT) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium. Persebaya Surabaya are 8th with 13 points from 9 games (in the top half), while PSS Sleman sit 16th on 5 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Persebaya Surabaya's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Isenmulang Kalteng 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
PSS Sleman's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat PSM Makassar 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Persebaya Surabaya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Persebaya Surabaya and 0.6 for PSS Sleman. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Persebaya Surabaya or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Persebaya Surabaya to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.60, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSS Sleman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persebaya Surabaya67%fair 1.50 · @1.60
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @3.75
PSS Sleman15%fair 6.80 · @4.75
2.38Expected goals
1.76Persebaya Surabaya xG
0.62PSS Sleman xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Persebaya Surabaya 1.8 – 0.6 PSS Sleman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persebaya Surabaya to win✗
67%
1.50
1.60 ▲
Double chance
Persebaya Surabaya or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Half-time result
Persebaya Surabaya ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persebaya Surabaya / FT Persebaya Surabaya✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.15
–
Form
Persebaya Surabaya – last 6
WDWDDW
9 Oct
@ Isenmulang Kalteng
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Garudayaksa
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs PSIM Yogyakarta
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Bhayangkara FC
1–1
D
6 Aug
@ Persib Bandung
1–1
D
4 Aug
vs Arema FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
PSS Sleman – last 6
WLLLWD
11 Oct
vs PSM Makassar
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Dewa United
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–3
L
4 Sep
@ Bali United
1–2
L
3 May
vs PSIS Semarang
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Persebaya Surabaya and PSS Sleman.
What is the prediction for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
Our pick is Persebaya Surabaya to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
On our numbers Persebaya Surabaya have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and PSS Sleman 15%.
How many goals will there be in Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
Our predicted score is Persebaya Surabaya 1–0 PSS Sleman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman?
Persebaya Surabaya vs PSS Sleman (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Gelora Bung Tomo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
