Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: PSM Makassar to win @ 3.00 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPSS Sleman to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.48
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar preview and prediction
The match
PSM Makassar travel to Maguwoharjo Stadium in the Liga 1 on Sunday 11 October (09:30 WAT) to face PSS Sleman. PSS Sleman are 16th with 5 points from 9 games (in the bottom three), while PSM Makassar sit 12th on 10 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
PSS Sleman's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Dewa United 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
PSM Makassar's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Persita 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
PSS Sleman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.0 for PSS Sleman and 2.0 for PSM Makassar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: PSM Makassar to win at 3.00 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: PSS Sleman 2–1 PSM Makassar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
PSS Sleman39%fair 2.57 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.10
PSM Makassar37%fair 2.71 · @3.00
4.00Expected goals
2.03PSS Sleman xG
1.97PSM Makassar xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–17%
1–17%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: PSS Sleman 2.0 – 2.0 PSM Makassar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSS Sleman to win✓
39%
2.57
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
PSS Sleman ahead at half-time✓
34%
2.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSS Sleman / FT PSS Sleman✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.48
–
Form
PSS Sleman – last 6
LLLWDW
20 Sep
@ Dewa United
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Persepam Madura Utd
1–3
L
4 Sep
@ Bali United
1–2
L
3 May
vs PSIS Semarang
3–0
W
26 Apr
@ Persiba Balikpapan
1–1
D
20 Apr
vs Persiku Kudus
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PSM Makassar – last 6
DDLLLL
19 Sep
vs Persita
2–2
D
13 Sep
vs Arema FC
3–3
D
6 Sep
@ Persib Bandung
1–3
L
23 May
@ Persepam Madura Utd
0–2
L
17 May
vs Persib Bandung
1–2
L
9 May
@ Arema FC
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSS Sleman and PSM Makassar.
What is the prediction for PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
On our numbers PSS Sleman have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and PSM Makassar 37%.
How many goals will there be in PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
Our predicted score is PSS Sleman 2–1 PSM Makassar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar?
PSS Sleman vs PSM Makassar (Liga 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Maguwoharjo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
