Value bet: Persepam Madura Utd to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersik Kediri to win ✓39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.75
Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd preview and prediction
The match
Persepam Madura Utd travel to Brawijaya Stadium in the Liga 1 on Friday 9 October (09:30 WAT) to face Persik Kediri. Persik Kediri are 13th with 10 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Persepam Madura Utd sit 4th on 19 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Persik Kediri's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Arema FC 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Persepam Madura Utd's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat PSIM Yogyakarta 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Persepam Madura Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 April 2026, finished Persepam Madura Utd 2–1 Persik Kediri.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Persik Kediri and 1.2 for Persepam Madura Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: Persepam Madura Utd to win at 2.90 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 56% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Persik Kediri 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Persik Kediri39%fair 2.56 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.30
Persepam Madura Utd38%fair 2.63 · @2.90
2.33Expected goals
1.18Persik Kediri xG
1.15Persepam Madura Utd xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Persik Kediri 1.2 – 1.2 Persepam Madura Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
On our numbers Persik Kediri have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persepam Madura Utd 38%.
How many goals will there be in Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Our predicted score is Persik Kediri 1–1 Persepam Madura Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd?
Persik Kediri vs Persepam Madura Utd (Liga 1) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time) at Brawijaya Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
