Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultForge to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceForge or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.52
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗10% · fair 9.89
Forge vs Supra du Quebec preview and prediction
The match
Forge host Supra du Quebec in the Canadian Championship on Wednesday 16 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Tim Hortons Field.
Form guide
Forge's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Atlético Ottawa 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Supra du Quebec's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to HFX Wanderers FC 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Forge arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Supra du Quebec 1–1 Forge. Across their last 5 meetings Forge have won 3, Supra du Quebec 1, with 1 draw and 2.4 goals per game; both teams scored in 3 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.4 for Forge and 0.9 for Supra du Quebec. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Forge 68%, draw 21%, Supra du Quebec 11%.
Safer route: Forge or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Forge to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Forge68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.75
Supra du Quebec11%fair 9.52 · @5.00
3.38Expected goals
2.44Forge xG
0.94Supra du Quebec xG
61%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–08%
3–08%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Forge 2.4 – 0.9 Supra du Quebec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our pick is Forge to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
On our numbers Forge have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Supra du Quebec 11%.
How many goals will there be in Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Our predicted score is Forge 2–0 Supra du Quebec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Forge vs Supra du Quebec?
Forge vs Supra du Quebec (Canadian Championship) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Tim Hortons Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
